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Bond-friendly environment driving tax-aware investor demand for munis

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The views expressed in these posts are those of the authors and are current only through the date stated. These views are subject to change at any time based upon market or other conditions, and Eaton Vance disclaims any responsibility to update such views. These views may not be relied upon as investment advice and, because investment decisions for Eaton Vance are based on many factors, may not be relied upon as an indication of trading intent on behalf of any Eaton Vance strategy. The discussion herein is general in nature and is provided for informational purposes only. There is no guarantee as to its accuracy or completeness.

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      By Nisha Patel, CFAPortfolio Manager, Eaton Vance Management

      New York - State and local governments picked up the pace of bond sales in August, taking advantage of attractive financing at low rates. In a far more bond-friendly environment, investors have looked to increase their allocations across fixed income classes this year. For individuals in high tax brackets, we think municipal bonds can be a good option. Here's why.

      Tax-equivalent yields are still attractive despite falling rates

      With the significant rally in bond prices - especially after the US Federal Reserve (Fed) moved to an easing stance at the July policymaking meeting - munis have followed the same path to lower rates as other income assets. According to Bloomberg, a 10-year A-rated muni bond yielded about 1.45% at the end of August. For those in the highest bracket taxed at 37%, the tax-equivalent yield around 2.3% continues to be more attractive than other high-grade fixed income alternatives like Treasuries.

      SALT deduction cap motivates home-state investing

      As part of the U.S. tax reforms in 2018, state and local tax (SALT) deductions were capped at $10,000. So for anyone living in California, New Jersey and New York - with state income tax rates as high as 13.3%, 8.97% and 8.82%, respectively - the effective tax rate has gone up. Investing in state-specific bonds can provide some relief to residents looking to lower their tax burdens.

      Credit research helps to avoid potential default risk

      Generally speaking, munis have exhibited low default rates, but the muni market is quite nuanced, with 50,000 different issuers - a far cry from the corporate bond market. While we may not hear as much about an impending wave of muni defaults as we did after the global financial crisis, there are still good reasons to be cautious.

      Even 10 years into an economic expansion, certain states and cities continue to face challenges, including unfunded pension liabilities and high debt levels. In California's case, the state economy is tied to the US business cycle because of the heavy reliance on personal income taxes in the revenue stream. When times are good, revenues can go through the roof. But when the economy slows, California tends to see a massive downshift in revenues, and its credit ratings can take a hit.

      That's why we believe that professional management can be really important for taxable investors. Our credit analysts are doing the appropriate due diligence, in addition to the public ratings - helping to steer away from riskier issues prone to downgrades or even uncovering opportunities in the muni market.

      Bottom line: August was the strongest month for muni debt issuance so far this year, and we expect that pace to continue. More robust demand has met the higher supply, but prudent investors still need to consider the credit worthiness of their muni bonds and position accordingly.